currently on leave at the ECB
Currently on leave.
Conjunctural Analysis and Economic Forecasting Division
Economic Developments Department
DG Economics, Statistics and Research
Información de contacto
- Calle Alcalá, 48, 28014, Madrid
- https://sites.google.com/site/daniloleivaleon/
- Curriculum Vitae (112 KB)
Campos de interés
Empirical Macroeconomics
Econometrics
Forecasting
Códigos JEL
E32, E27, C32
Publicaciones
Markov-Switching three pass regression filter
Pierre Guérin, Danilo Leiva León and Massimiliano Marcellino (Apr. 2020)
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 38(2), 285-302.
Mapping China’s Time-Varying House Price Landscape
Michael Funke, Andrew Tsang and Danilo Leiva León (Sep. 2019)
Regional Science and Urban Economics, 78, 103464
Increasing linkages among European regions
María Dolores Gadea, Ana Gómez Loscos and Danilo Leiva León (Jun. 2019)
Economic Modelling, 80, 222-243.
The propagation of industrial business cycles
Máximo Camacho and Danilo Leiva León (2019-01)
Macroeconomic Dynamics 23 (1), pp. 144-177
Measuring business cycles intra-synchronization in US: A regime-switching interdependence framework
Danilo Leiva León (Aug. 2017)
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,79(4), 513-545
Model averaging in Markov-switching models: Predicting national recessions with regional data
Pierre Guérin and Danilo Leiva-León (Aug. 2017)
Economics Letters, 157, 45-49
Dynamics of global business cycle interdependence
Lorenzo Ductor and Danilo Leiva León (Sep. 2016)
Journal of International Economics, 102, 110-127
Real-time nowcasting nominal GDP under structural breaks
William Barnett, Marcelle Chauvet and Danilo Leiva León (Apr. 2016)
Journal of Econometrics, 191(2), 312-324
Country shocks, monetary policy expectations and ECB decisions. A dynamic nonlinear approach
Máximo Camacho, Danilo Leiva León and Gabriel Pérez Quirós (Dec. 2015)
Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 35. VoxEu
Real vs. Nominal cycles: A multistate Markov-switching bi-factor approach
Danilo Leiva León (Dec. 2014)
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 18(5), 557-580