Leiva-León, Danilo

currently on leave at the ECB

Currently on leave.

Conjunctural Analysis and Economic Forecasting Division

Economic Developments Department

DG Economics, Statistics and Research

Información de contacto

Calle Alcalá, 48, 28014, Madrid
https://sites.google.com/site/daniloleivaleon/
Curriculum Vitae (112 KB)

Campos de interés

Empirical Macroeconomics

Econometrics

Forecasting

Códigos JEL

E32, E27, C32

Underlying inflation and asymmetric risks Hervé Le Bihan, Danilo Leiva-León y Matías Pacce

Códigos JEL: 2319

Publicado en: Finance Research Letters , v. 62, Part B, April 2024, 105149 y en línea en The Review of Economics and Statistics, October 2024

Housing prices in Spain: convergence or decoupling? Corinna Ghirelli, Danilo Leiva-León y Alberto Urtasun

Códigos JEL: 2205

Publicado en: SERIEs-Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Volume 14, Issue 2, June 2023, pp 165-187

Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts? Marta Bánbura, Danilo Leiva-León y Jan-Oliver Menz

Códigos JEL: 2138

Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions Christiane Baumeister, Danilo Leiva-León y Eric Sims

Códigos JEL: 2134

Publicado en: The Review of Economics and Statistics, Volume 106, Issue 2, March 2024, pp. 483-504

Endogenous time variation in vector autoregressions Danilo Leiva-Leon y Luis Uzeda

Códigos JEL: 2108

Mapping China’s Time-Varying House Price Landscape Michael Funke, Andrew Tsang and Danilo Leiva León (Sep. 2019)

Regional Science and Urban Economics, 78, 103464

Códigos JEL: JEL codes: E31, E32, C32, R11

Macro-financial interactions in a changing world Eddie Gerba y Danilo Leiva-Leon

Códigos JEL: 2018

Increasing linkages among European regions María Dolores Gadea, Ana Gómez Loscos and Danilo Leiva León (Jun. 2019)

Economic Modelling, 80, 222-243.

Códigos JEL: C31, C32, E32, R11

Real-time weakness of the global economy: a first assessment of the coronavirus crisis Danilo Leiva-Leon, Gabriel Perez-Quiros y Eyno Rots

Códigos JEL: 2015

Publicado en: Journal of Applied Econometrics, v.39, Issue 5, August 2024, pp. 813 - 832

Markov-Switching three pass regression filter Pierre Guérin, Danilo Leiva León and Massimiliano Marcellino (Apr. 2020)

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 38(2), 285-302.

Códigos JEL: C22, C23, C53

Exchange rate shocks and inflation comovement in the euro area Danilo Leiva-Leon, Jaime Martínez-Martín y Eva Ortega

Códigos JEL: 1934

Mapping China´s time-varying house price landscape Michael Funke, Danilo Leiva-Leon y Andrew Tsang

Códigos JEL: 1930

Publicado en: Regional Science and Urban Economics. Volume 78, September 2019, Article 103464.

Fluctuations in global macro volatility Danilo Leiva-Leon y Lorenzo Ductor

Códigos JEL: 1925

Publicado en: Journal of International Money and Finance, Volume 120, Art 102533, February 2022

Markov-switching three-pass regression filter Pierre Guérin, Danilo Leiva-Leon y Massimiliano Marcellino

Códigos JEL: 1748

Publicado en: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. Volume 38, Issue 2, April 2020, Pages 285-302.

The propagation of industrial business cycles Máximo Camacho and Danilo Leiva León (2019-01)

Macroeconomic Dynamics 23 (1), pp. 144-177

Códigos JEL: E32, C22, E27

Monetary policy, stock market and sectoral comovement Pierre Guérin y Danilo Leiva-Leon

Códigos JEL: 1731

Publicado en: Advances in Econometrics. Volume 44B, Chapter 3, September 2022, pp 65-98

The propagation of industrial business cycles Maximo Camacho y Danilo Leiva-Leon

Códigos JEL: 1728

Publicado en: Macroeconomic Dynamics, 23 (1), pp 144-177

Measuring business cycles intra-synchronization in US: a regime-switching interdependence framework Danilo Leiva-Leon

Códigos JEL: 1726

Publicado en: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

Measuring business cycles intra-synchronization in US: A regime-switching interdependence framework Danilo Leiva León (Aug. 2017)

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,79(4), 513-545

Códigos JEL: E32, C32, C45

Model averaging in Markov-switching models: Predicting national recessions with regional data Pierre Guérin and Danilo Leiva-León (Aug. 2017)

Economics Letters, 157, 45-49

Códigos JEL: C53, E32, E37

The evolution of regional economic interlinkages in Europe María Dolores Gadea-Rivas, Ana Gómez-Loscos y Danilo Leiva-Leon

Códigos JEL: 1705

Publicado en: Economic Modelling Volume 80, Issue 4, August 2019, Pages 222-243 como "Increasing linkages among European regions. The role of sectoral composition"

Dynamics of global business cycle interdependence Lorenzo Ductor and Danilo Leiva León (Sep. 2016)

Journal of International Economics, 102, 110-127

Códigos JEL: C34, C45, E32

Real-time nowcasting nominal GDP under structural breaks William Barnett, Marcelle Chauvet and Danilo Leiva León (Apr. 2016)

Journal of Econometrics, 191(2), 312-324

Códigos JEL: C32, E27, E31, E32

Country shocks, monetary policy expectations and ECB decisions. A dynamic nonlinear approach Máximo Camacho, Danilo Leiva León and Gabriel Pérez Quirós (Dec. 2015)

Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 35. VoxEu

Códigos JEL: E32, C22, E27

Country shocks, monetary policy expectations and ECB decisions. A dynamic non-linear approach Maximo Camacho, Danilo Leiva-Leon y Gabriel Perez-Quiros

Códigos JEL: 1523

Publicado en: Advances in Econometrics, 35, January 2016, 283 - 316

Real vs. Nominal cycles: A multistate Markov-switching bi-factor approach Danilo Leiva León (Dec. 2014)

Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 18(5), 557-580

Códigos JEL: E32, C22, E27

Model averaging in Markov-Switching models: predicting national recessions with regional data Pierre Guérin y Danilo Leiva-Leon

Códigos JEL: 1727

Publicado en: Economics Letters