Clustering regional business cycles

Clustering regional business cycles

Series: Working Papers. 1744.

Author: M.D. Gadea-Rivas, Ana Gómez-Loscos and Eduardo Bandrés.

Published in: Economics Letters (2018), vol. 162, pp. 171-176Opens in new window

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Clustering regional business cycles (624 KB)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to show the usefulness of Finite Mixture Markov Models (FMMMs) for regional analysis. FMMMs combine clustering techniques and Markov Switching models, providing a powerful methodological framework to jointly obtain business cycle datings and clusters of regions that share similar business cycle characteristics. An illustration with European regional data shows the sound performance of the proposed method.

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