Series: Working Papers. 1243.
Author: Enrique Moral-Benito
Quantitative methods
- Economic growth and convergence
- Business investment
- Uncertainty
Published in: Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2016, Vol 31.
Full document
Abstract
This paper considers panel growth regressions in the presence of model uncertainty and reverse causality concerns. For this purpose, my econometric framework combines Bayesian Model Averaging with a suitable likelihood function for dynamic panel models with weakly exogenous regressors and fixed effects. An application of this econometric methodology to a panel of countries over the 1960-2000 period indicates that there is no robust determinant of economic growth and that the rate of conditional convergence is indistinguishable from zero.