Series: Working Papers. 0605.
Author: Ricardo Gimeno y Carmen Martínez-Carrascal.
Publicado en: Journal of Banking and Finance. Vol. 34(8), pp. 1849-1855
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Abstract
The aim of this paper is to analyse, using a vector error-correction model (VECM), the dynamic interaction between house prices and loans for house purchase in Spain. The results show that both variables are interdependent in the long run: loans for house purchase depend positively on house prices, while house prices adjust when this credit aggregate departs from the level implied by its long-run determinants. In contrast, disequilibria in house prices are corrected only through changes in this variable. As for short-run dynamics, the results show that the two variables have a positive contemporaneous impact on each other, indicating the existence of mutally reinforcing cycles in both variables.