Welcome to the Economic Research Portal at the Banco de España
This website offers information and updates about economic research activities at the Banco de España (Bank of Spain). This research aims to provide high-quality economic analysis to support the Banco de España in its role as Spain's central bank and as a member of the Eurosystem. It includes the regular monitoring of the Spanish, Euro-zone and world economies; the evaluation of relevant economic policies; financial regulation and supervision; and the compilation of statistics. It also aims to advance economic knowledge in areas of interest for central banking.
External evaluation of Banco de España research
In 2011, by request of the Governor, the research activities of the Banco de España were evaluated by an external panel, constituted by Professors Ricardo Caballero (MIT), Jordi Galí (UPF), and Lucrezia Reichlin (LBS), and Dr. Luis Servén (World Bank). The report and the response of the Banco de España are available here:
The response of household wealth to the risk of job loss: Evidence from differences in severance payments
Growth empirics in panel data under model uncertainty and weak exogeneity
Journal of Applied Econometrics 31 (3), April/May 2016, pp. 584-602
Enrique Moral-Benito (Banco de España).
International reserves and gross capital flows dynamics
The impact of financial regulation on current account balances
European Economic Review 81, January 2016, pp. 148-166.
Enrique Moral-Benito (Banco de España),
Oliver Roehn (OECD).
True versus spurious long memory: Some theoretical results and a Monte Carlo comparison
Econometric Reviews 34 (4), 2015, pp. 452-479
Arturo Leccadito (Università della Calabria),
Omar Rachedi (Banco de España),
Giovanni Urga (Cass Business School and Bergamo University).
Extracting non linear signals from several economic indicators
Journal of Applied Econometrics 30 (7), November/December 2015, pp. 1073-1089.
M. Camacho (Universidad de Murcia),
Gabriel Pérez-Quirós (Banco de España),
Pilar Poncela (Universidad Autónoma de Madrid).
Precautionary price stickiness
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 58, September 2015, pp. 218-234.
James Costain (Banco de España),
Anton Nakov (ECB).
Returns to skills and the distribution of wages: Spain 1995-2010
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 77 (4), August 2015, pp. 542-565.
Raquel Carrasco (Univ. Carlos III),
Juan F. Jimeno (Banco de España),
Carolina Ortega (Univ. Nacional de Tucumán).
Disentangling contagion among sovereign CDS spreads during the European debt crisis
The safety and soundness effects of bank M&A in the EU: Does prudential regulation have any impact?
European Financial Management 21 (3), June 2015, pp. 462-490.
Jens Hagendorff (Univ. of Edinburgh),
Maria J. Nieto (Banco de España).
News and highlights
Fiscal Sustainability, XXI CenturyBANCO DE ESPAÑA - BARCELONA GSE
During the week of 6-10 June, 2016, the Banco de España and the Barcelona Graduate School of Economics (BGSE) organized a Joint Fiscal Policy Week entitled Fiscal Sustainability: XXI Century. The Policy Week addressed theoretical, empirical, and policy-oriented research on fiscal policy, with a particular focus on the question of sustainability, which has become a central issue worldwide and especially in Europe in the aftermath of the crisis. Topics addressed included measuring fiscal sustainability, monitoring compliance with fiscal rules, coordination of fiscal policies across and within countries, and the interaction of monetary, fiscal, and financial stability policies in the context of a monetary union.
The Policy Week consisted of two events: a conference at the Banco de España, in Madrid, on 6-8 June, followed by a workshop at the the BGSE, in Barcelona, on 9-10 June, which was part of the 2016 BGSE Summer Forum. Presentations at the Madrid conference emphasized more policy-oriented topics, while those in Barcelona included more theoretical work.
Labor Markets: Growth, Productivity and InequalityBANCO DE ESPAÑA - WORLD BANK
On 16-17 June, 2016, the Banco de España and the World Bank organized a conference in Madrid entitled "Labor Markets: Growth, Productivity and Inequality". The conference studied new evidence on the labor market responses to macroeconomic and policy changes after the Great Recession, and on the effects of labor market policies on employment levels, employment quality, wages, labor productivity, and growth. The scope of the conference was global, with special attention to emerging markets, and Latin America in particular. Twelve papers were presented, both theoretical and empirical, and David Card (UC Berkeley) participated in two panel discussions.
Restructuring of research at the Banco de EspañaBANCO DE ESPAÑA
On 17 November, 2015, the Banco de España announced a restructuring of its main research directorate, the Directorate General of Economics, Statistics and Research, as advised by its recently-appointed Director General, Pablo Hernández de Cos.
The restructuring merges two departments (Monetary and Financial Studies, and Economic Analysis and Forecasting) into a single Associate Directorate General of Economics and Research, to be headed by Óscar Arce. The restructuring is intended to further spread out research at the Banco de España, to foster collaboration between staff in previously separate departments, and to better integrate research into policy work.
The ADG Economics and Research will include four divisions devoted to ongoing monitoring, analysis, and forecasting of the Spanish economy and its international environment (Conjunctural Analysis, Structural Analysis, Financial Analysis, and Monetary Policy and Euro Area). It will also have two divisions with a deeper dedication to research and methodology (Microeconomic Analysis and Modelling and Macroeconomic Analysis).
Current visiting researchersBANCO DE ESPAÑA
In keeping with its support for economic research in Spain, the Banco de España regularly invites expert scholars to undertake research projects at its headquarters in Madrid. Researchers currently visiting the Banco de España include:
- Prof. Antoine Loeper of Universidad Carlos III de Madrid is visiting from September 2015 to July 2016.
Project: Bargaining in legislatures and monetary policy committees
- Dr. Mihaly Borsi (PhD Alicante) is visiting from October 2015 to June 2016.
Project: The role of finance in explaining labor market dynamics